Eredivisie
📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026

Almere vs Willem

Almere
Match Tip
Home to Score
@ 1.25
vs
Willem
🏟 Almere · 13 May 2026 · Eredivisie
Win Probability
Home to Score 70%
Last 5 Fixtures
🛡 Almere
Eredivisie#1
D
May 09, 2026: De Graafschap
2-2
Almere City (Eerste Divisie)
D
Eredivisie#2
W
May 06, 2026: Almere City
3-1
De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie)
L
Eredivisie#3
W
May 02, 2026: Almere City
3-0
Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie)
L
Eredivisie#4
L
April 29, 2026: Den Bosch
2-3
Almere City (Eerste Divisie)
W
Eredivisie#5
W
April 24, 2026: Venlo
3-1
Almere City (Eerste Divisie)
L
🛡 Willem
Eredivisie#1
D
May 09, 2026: Willem II
1-1
Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie)
D
Eredivisie#2
L
May 05, 2026: Waalwijk
0-1
Willem II (Eerste Divisie)
W
Eredivisie#3
L
April 24, 2026: Dordrecht
1-2
Willem II (Eerste Divisie)
W
Eredivisie#4
W
April 17, 2026: Willem II
3-0
Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie)
L
Eredivisie#5
W
April 12, 2026: Willem II
2-1
Almere City (Eerste Divisie)
L
Home Form
D
W
W
W
L
Away Form
D
W
W
W
W
📊 Head To Head
Almere — 2W 0 Draw 3W — Willem
40%
60%
Eredivisie#1
W
April 12, 2026: Willem II
2-1
Almere City (Eerste Divisie)
L
Eredivisie#2
L
August 22, 2025: Almere City
0-1
Willem II (Eerste Divisie)
W
Eredivisie#3
L
March 29, 2025: Willem II
0-2
Almere City (Eredivisie)
W
Eredivisie#4
L
October 04, 2024: Almere City
0-1
Willem II (Eredivisie)
W
Eredivisie#5
W
January 15, 2023: Almere City
1-0
Willem II (Eerste Divisie)
L
Current Form
Almere
60%Win Rate
3W
1D
1L
Willem
80%Win Rate
4W
1D
0L
✦ Expert Match Analysis

This match analysis focuses on the upcoming Almere City vs. Willem II showdown in the Eredivisie Promotion Play-offs semi-final, taking place on May 13, 2026, at the Yanmar Stadion. We examine the likelihood of the home team finding the net based on current scoring trends and historical data.


Match Overview & Goal Scoring Trends

As these two sides battle for a spot in the top flight, Almere City enters this home leg with a strong offensive rhythm. In their most recent fixtures leading up to this semi-final, they have shown remarkable consistency in front of their home fans.

Almere City Home Scoring: Almere has found the net in 100% of their last four home games, scoring 10 goals in that period (an average of 2.5 per game). High-scoring wins against Den Bosch (3–0) and De Graafschap (3–1) highlight their efficiency at the Yanmar Stadion.

Willem II Defensive Form: While Willem II is in excellent overall form, they have struggled to keep clean sheets on the road against promotion rivals. They recently conceded in away trips to Dordrecht and have historically found Almere’s stadium a difficult place to keep a shutout.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Insights

When looking at the history of this fixture, the home side consistently breaks through:

April 12, 2026: Willem II 2–1 Almere City

March 29, 2025: Willem II 0–2 Almere City (Almere away win)

January 15, 2023: Almere City 1–0 Willem II

In the most recent meeting just a month ago, both teams scored, confirming that neither defense has fully figured out how to neutralize the other’s attack.

Tactical Analysis for Betting Markets

Almere City relies heavily on their wing play, with Junior Kadile proving to be a major threat. Statistically, Almere has a 51.86% probability of scoring first in this leg. Willem II, led by Ringo Meerveld, often plays an open game which, while productive, frequently leaves their backline exposed to counter-attacks a perfect scenario for the “Home Team to Score” market. 


Summary for Daily Sure Bet Tips

If you are searching for Daily Bet Tips Today, the “Home Team to Score” (Almere City Over 0.5 Goals) is a high-confidence selection. Historical data and current play-off momentum suggest that Almere finding the net is one of the most reliable Daily Sure Bet Tips for this Eredivisie Play-off round.

As a leading Football Prediction Site, we emphasize the importance of home-field advantage in high-stakes play-off matches. For bettors following Free Daily bet tips, focusing on Almere’s recent 2.5 goals-per-home-game average provides a strong foundation for your Sure Bet Tips strategy.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What is the scoring probability for Almere City in this match?

Based on recent home form, Almere City has scored in every home match in the last month. Analytical models suggest a 69.82% chance of at least one goal being scored by the home side.

2. Where can I find the most reliable Daily Sure Bet Tips?

For consistent updates and data-driven insights into European play-offs, it is best to consult a dedicated Football Prediction Site that tracks live form and H2H statistics.

3. Is Willem II likely to concede an away goal?

Yes. In their last three meetings with Almere City, Willem II has kept only one clean sheet. Given the high stakes of the promotion semi-finals, defensive errors are more common.

4. How can I access Free Daily bet tips for the Dutch leagues?

You can find expert analysis and Free Daily bet tips by following platforms like Sure Bet Tips and checking Daily Bet Tips Today sections during the European league peaks.